CIRCLE (The Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement)
conducts research on the civic and political engagement of young Americans.
The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning and Engagement

New National Youth Turnout Estimate: 28% of Young People Voted in 2018

May 30th, 2019
Email to a Friend

We recently released estimates of 2018 midterm youth voter turnout in all 42 states for which  youth voting data are available in the voter files. Our analyses found that, in every single state, young people’s turnout rate increased compared to 2014. Based on the data from those 42 states (which represent 94% of the American youth population) we estimate that, nationwide, 28.2% of young citizens (ages 18-29) voted in the 2018 midterm elections.

This new estimate, based on voter file data aggregated by Catalist, comes close to our initial 31% estimate, based on exit poll data, calculated the day after the election. The 28.2% national turnout rate is a more precise and reliable estimate that further confirms the increased youth participation in last November’s midterms. It’s more than double the national youth turnout (calculated using the same method) from the 2014 midterms, when we estimate that only 13% of eligible youth cast a ballot—itself a much lower turnout rate than the 20% figure initially calculated through different methodology.

The release of this national turnout estimate is an ideal occasion to reiterate and reflect on some of the factors that made the 2018 election cycle different, and conducive to a remarkable rise in youth political participation:

Comments are closed.