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RSSLatest Research
Five Takeaways on Social Media and the Youth Vote in 2018
According to our estimates, youth political engagement in the 2018 midterm elections was among the highest in recent decades. An estimated 31% turned out to vote, compared to 21% in 2014. In addition, beyond the ballot box, our pre-election survey of youth suggests that youth activism is on the rise, with the percentage of youth Read More >
County by County, Young People of Color Key to Democratic Candidates in Close Races
Note: This post has been updated with additional data and methodological details. Across the country, young people had a profound impact on the 2018 midterm elections. CIRCLE’s exclusive day-after estimate found that 31% of young people voted in Tuesday’s midterms, the highest rate in over two decades. Furthermore, according to national exit polls, young people Read More >
Young People Dramatically Increase their Turnout to 31%, Shape 2018 Midterm Elections
Note: In May 2019 we updated our estimate of youth voter turnout in the 2018 midterm elections to 28%. Read more about the new estimate. CIRCLE is estimating today that roughly 31% of youth (ages 18-29) turned out to vote in the 2018 midterms, an extraordinary increase over our estimate in 2014, when our day-after Read More >
Young People Favor Democratic House Candidates by Historic Margin, Data Continue to Suggest High Youth Participation for a Midterm
Note: The data below is current as of 9:00 a.m. ET on November 7. CIRCLE’s election-night analysis of exit poll data suggests that young people made up a similar share of the electorate than in previous midterms (compared to the same data source in previous years), an impressive feat in what has all the signs Read More >
Are Exit Polls Accurately Measuring the Vote Choice of the Youth Electorate?
In the aftermath of the 2016 presidential election, exit polls came under fire for their perceived deficiencies in accurately surveying the American electorate. According to an analysis by Thomas Edsall of the New York Times, that year’s exit polls undersampled white working-class voters and oversampled college-educated voters, thereby biasing the data and overestimating Democratic turnout.[1] Read More >
